If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your money from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The sooner the purchase price appears the more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has be a big earner to them. They have to accomplish this as they are only too aware that the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that may give them a good edge. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be only one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are able to take a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This can be clearly great news for that arb maker. Because of this the highest bets they are going to accept on the bet are many higher.
There are many kinds of soccer bets. Firstly there is the match winner. This really is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so on. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So that are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, you will find way too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the odds consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer marketplace is to open up accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They are going to price the sport in their country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This really is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own countries they may be depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between groups of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic with regards to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of your home team get talked up and the odds could get skewed in their favour because the weight of cash is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that said the major bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and generally stick with it. This means that a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or make an effort to tempt funds in their direction by offering different odds. If this type of were to happen the arb may be around for a considerable amount of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But bear in mind they are ‘guessing’ what the odds needs to be just like you and also me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong and other firms can have a completely different view of the end result of the game. An entirely different view will simply result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a variety of bookmakers throughout Europe. This may however give a complication. Although really simple to find arbs, the mere simple fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will get spotted by the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure section of betting and in case someone was to check your money over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it might ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different form of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t become a problem as numerous different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will also produce arbs and they are not as likely to draw in focus on you and the utmost bets is going to be higher.
As before you are unable to control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is actually a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can be useful on your own account. The point here is that not lots of people are interested in the lower European divisions plus it may become clear that the betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially true should your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. When a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play on the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can serve as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations also have comprehensive news coverage of all games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all simultaneously, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The new cost is the one which wont change the old cost is the one which is going to and so may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are more inclined to look.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total variety of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others failed to. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points to get a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity in between the teams by which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet is not going to figure strongly inside your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued which will impact the total bookings bet. But an easy part of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The final outcome will not be can be expected a lot of sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards but it not so difficult to check the odds.